Saturation Curve Tracker

How much headroom is left on each channel.

Recast's modeled response curves, channel by channel. See where current spend sits relative to the saturation point — and how much room there is to scale before diminishing returns kick in hard.

Channels w/ headroom
5 / 8
Below 70% saturated
Channels w/ saturation risk
2 / 8
70-90% saturated
Saturated
1 / 8
Above 90% — scale back or hold
Avg headroom
42%
Weighted by current spend

Per-channel response curves

Headroom detail

Channel 7d Spend Half-saturation pointspend at 50% max % Saturatedcurve position Headroom mROI at current

How to read this report

Each curve plots incremental revenue against weekly spend for that channel, fit by Recast from the live model. The shape is the classic Hill response: small spend earns less than proportional return, mid-range spend is most efficient, high spend hits diminishing returns.

The dot on each curve marks where the channel is sitting right now. % Saturated is the curve's position between zero and the asymptote — channels near 50% are in the steep, high-return zone; channels near 90% are flattening fast.

Headroom is the dollars of additional weekly spend you can add before mROI drops below 2×. Use it to size reallocation decisions: if Linear TV has $40K headroom and Search Branded has none, shifting budget is supported by the model.

Amazon Revenue model · 7-day spend · curves refit 2026-05-23 Powered by Recast API